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11yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 4
Marseille · Prix Du Port De Banc Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Vichy | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Vichy | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 5-8 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 64% | -0.13 |
| 04/06/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 13/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 30/06/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 21/07/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 14/08/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 02/09/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 22/09/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |