1
Magic Treville
5yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 8
Marseille · Prix Du Port De Banc Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Marseille | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Marseille | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Marseille | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength76%
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 30% | +0.25 |
| 16/02/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 70% | +0.04 |
| 09/03/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 62% | -0.07 |
| 22/03/2026 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 25% | -0.64 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 21/06/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 15/09/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |