8
Rosissim
10yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 2
Marseille · Prix Du Port De Banc Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Moulins | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength62%
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 04/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.39 |
| 13/05/2026 | 11th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 25/09/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |