5

Sanka Chop
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 5
Marseille · Prix Du Port De Banc Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#3
Rank
Odds
33/10
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Vichy | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Vichy | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength81%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 03/04/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 18% | -0.29 |
| 02/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 18/05/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/06/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 23/07/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/08/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 27% | +0.22 |
| 14/08/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 25/09/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |