5
Atavamada
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 6
Marseille · Prix Des Trois Ponts Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#9
Rank
Odds
13/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 85/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 29/03/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 10/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 29/04/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 18/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 17/06/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 19/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 91% | +0.38 |