4
Dengie
4yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 4
Marseille · Prix Des Trois Ponts Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength84%
Delivery trend +6.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 08/12/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 24/01/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 11/02/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 13/05/2026 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/06/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 03/09/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 25/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |