1
Kerno Quatz
6yo Horse · 9-6 · Draw 5
Marseille · Prix Des Trois Ponts Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Compiegne | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Marseille | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 60/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 02/03/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 22/03/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 18/05/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 28/07/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 27% | -0.20 |
| 02/09/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 11% | -0.49 |