8
Rabbah
7yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 8
Marseille · Prix Des Trois Ponts Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Vichy | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Marseille | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Marseille | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 18/03/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 58% | -0.13 |
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 29% | -0.54 |
| 22/05/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 21/07/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.20 |
| 12/08/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 25/09/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |