2
Sir Garsing
5yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 7
Marseille · Prix Des Trois Ponts Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
89%
Place Prob
63%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Marseille | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength71%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 22/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 16/04/2026 | 10th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 06/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 92% | +0.05 |
| 02/07/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 47% | -0.11 |
| 11/08/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 54% | -0.17 |
| 29/09/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |