9
Spirit Grey
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 9
Marseille · Prix Des Trois Ponts Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#4
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | 3 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Marseille | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Marseille-borely | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 6-9 · tight 74/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength21%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 02/03/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 78% | -0.12 |
| 21/03/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 88% | -0.03 |
| 18/05/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 63% | -0.27 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 06/08/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 8% | +0.02 |
| 08/09/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |