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6

Jemaa El Fna

2yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 6

Marseille · Prix Twig Maiden Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#7

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 07/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1287/07C5C5 @ Vichy 19/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12819/08C5C5 @ Salon-De-Provence 14/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12314/09C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Salon-De-Provence?2nd2nd0
2026-08-19Vichy?7th7th0
2026-07-07Chantilly?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0719/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/07/20269th20/10%0%0.00
19/08/20267th80/10%50%+0.50
14/09/20262nd6/168%90%+0.22