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Orya

3yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 8

Marseille · Prix De L'ile De Tiboulen Handicap · 7f 100y

#8

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Salon-De-Provence 16/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m208y GS 12416/04C5C5 @ Tarbes 11/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 7f100y Sft 12411/05C52 @ Dax 29/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12229/062C0 @ Deauville 12/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12312/07C?C5 @ Deauville 06/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 6f101y Std 1276/08C5projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-06Deauville?5th5th0
2026-07-12Deauville?12th12th0
2026-06-29Dax25th5th0
2026-05-11Tarbes?1st1st0
2026-04-16Salon-De-Provence?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0411/0529/0612/076/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 56/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength46%

Delivery trend -12.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/20263rd11/142%80%+0.38
11/05/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
29/06/20265th17/255%43%-0.12
12/07/202612th25/10%21%+0.21
06/08/20265th10/382%56%-0.27