4
Seeshaupt
3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 9
Marseille · Prix De L'ile De Tiboulen Handicap · 7f 100y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Marseille | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Marseille | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Marseille-borely | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 6-9 · tight 74/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 21/02/2026 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 9% | -0.62 |
| 22/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 06/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 20/07/2026 | 6th | 13/8 | 91% | 17% | -0.75 |
| 15/08/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 14/09/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |