El Professor Chop
6yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 8
Marseille · Prix De La Madrague Stakes · 7f 100y
#3
Rank
Odds
18/5
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 6.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Craon | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-09-11 | Le Mans | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-08-13 | Deauville | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-22 | Vichy | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 06/06/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 9% | -0.28 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 93% | +0.38 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 27/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |