7
Resolution
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 5
Marseille · Prix De La Madrague Stakes · 7f 100y
#8
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Marseille | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-07-30 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-18 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-05 | Aix-Les-Bains | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-13 | Marseille-borely | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength61%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |
| 26/05/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 93% | +0.45 |
| 13/06/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |
| 05/07/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 18/07/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 30/07/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 15/09/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 70% | +0.09 |