4
Sweep Away
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 3
Marseille · Prix De La Madrague Stakes · 7f 100y
#7
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 4 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Vichy | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 3 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 55/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength27%
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 31% | -0.06 |
| 05/03/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 18/03/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 13/05/2026 | 14th | 15/2 | 61% | 7% | -0.53 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 91% | +0.38 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 06/08/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 03/09/2026 | 12th | 3/1 | 84% | 15% | -0.69 |