IvyArcIvyArc
2

March Madness

2yo Colt · 9-1 · Draw 5

Marseille · Prix De Tournefort Claiming Stakes · 7f 100y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 31/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 12831/05C5C5 @ Clairefontaine 21/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Ver 12821/08C5C5 @ Chantilly 04/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f101y Std 1304/09C5projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Chantilly?4th4th0
2026-08-21Clairefontaine?4th4th0
2026-05-31Chantilly?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0521/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 39/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength81%

Delivery trend +5.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/05/20266th5/174%38%-0.36
21/08/20264th8/158%70%+0.12
04/09/20264th9/488%63%-0.26