IvyArcIvyArc
4

Saoudienne

2yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 1

Marseille · Prix De Tournefort Claiming Stakes · 7f 100y

#5

Rank

Odds

17/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 12/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12812/07C5C5 @ Vichy 24/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 4f213y GS 12324/07C5C5 @ Vichy 14/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12414/08C5C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 02/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1162/09C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 25/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y GS 11425/09C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25Saint-Cloud?7th7th0
2026-09-02Lyon-Parilly?6th6th0
2026-08-14Vichy?4th4th0
2026-07-24Vichy?8th8th0
2026-07-12Deauville?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0724/0714/082/0925/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 73/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +23.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20268th13/266%22%-0.44
24/07/20268th9/488%0%-0.88
14/08/20264th4/179%40%-0.39
02/09/20266th33/10%29%+0.29
25/09/20267th16/116%33%+0.18