4

Just For Meme

3yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 4

Marseille · Prix Du Cercle Des Phoceens Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/5

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength51%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Chantilly 13/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m208y Std 122 · HIGHER CLASS13/0211 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 27/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 122 · HIGHER CLASS1 @ Marseille-borely 10/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 122 · HIGHER CLASS10/041C0 @ Saint-Cloud 05/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1272 @ Marseille-borely 18/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 122 · HIGHER CLASS18/0521 @ Marseille-borely 12/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 122 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Vichy 22/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 13822/07C?C0 @ Deauville 13/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f97y Sft 127C5 @ Salon-De-Provence 25/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12325/09C5projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25Salon-De-Provence?1st1st0
2026-08-13Deauville?14th14th0
2026-07-22Vichy?6th6th0
2026-06-12Marseille-borely16th2nd+4
2026-05-18Marseille-borely25th2nd+3
2026-05-05Saint-Cloud?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/025/0522/0725/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 84/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/02/20264th12/137%50%+0.13
27/03/20267th13/266%25%-0.41
10/04/20263rd14/126%67%+0.40
05/05/202613th20/10%8%+0.08
18/05/20265th12/137%20%-0.17
12/06/20266th12/137%17%-0.20
22/07/20266th33/10%62%+0.62
13/08/202614th33/10%0%0.00
25/09/20261st9/276%100%+0.24