2
L'alta Rocca
3yo Colt · 9-6 · Draw 5
Marseille · Prix Du Cercle Des Phoceens Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 2-7 · tight 48/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength43%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 22/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 85% | +0.14 |
| 05/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 92% | +0.02 |
| 29/04/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 23/05/2026 | 11th | 15/2 | 61% | 17% | -0.44 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 17% | -0.71 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 13/09/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |