3
Le Doc
3yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 3
Marseille · Prix Du Cercle Des Phoceens Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#2
Rank
Odds
14/5
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Marseille | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 68/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength46%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 13/04/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 75% | -0.22 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 91% | -0.02 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 60% | -0.36 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 11/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 77% | +0.01 |
| 25/09/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |