6
Les Princes
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 6
Marseille · Prix Du Cercle Des Phoceens Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#7
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Marseille | 3 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-04-20 | Fontainebleau | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Marseille-borely | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Marseille-borely | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-26 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 6-7 · tight 82/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 26/01/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 11/02/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 18/03/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 03/04/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 10% | -0.51 |
| 20/04/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 13% | -0.48 |