5
Space Good
3yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 2
Marseille · Prix Du Cercle Des Phoceens Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#3
Rank
Odds
33/10
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Vichy | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength70%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 78% | -0.16 |
| 10/02/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 04/03/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 12/04/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 24/07/2026 | 11th | 15/2 | 61% | 17% | -0.44 |
| 15/08/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 11% | -0.49 |
| 14/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |