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5

Celago

3yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 5

Marseille · Prix Du Port De L'eoube Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#6

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Marseille-borely 06/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Ver 1236/05C5C5 @ Salon-De-Provence 25/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12825/05C5C5 @ Vichy 23/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12823/07C5C5 @ Vichy 19/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12819/08C5C5 @ Salon-De-Provence 14/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12814/09C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Salon-De-Provence?3rd3rd0
2026-08-19Vichy?2nd2nd0
2026-07-23Vichy?2nd2nd0
2026-05-25Salon-De-Provence?4th4th0
2026-05-06Marseille-borely?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0525/0523/0719/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 32/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength51%

Delivery trend -18.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/05/20264th33/10%79%+0.79
25/05/20264th15/261%57%-0.03
23/07/20262nd18/15%93%+0.88
19/08/20262nd5/287%89%+0.02
14/09/20263rd6/594%78%-0.16