1
Mefie Toi
3yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 7
Marseille · Prix Du Port De L'eoube Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#4
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Marseille | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 59/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 16/04/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 62% | +0.01 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 10/11 | 95% | 57% | -0.38 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 15/06/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 02/07/2026 | 8th | 5/2 | 87% | 13% | -0.74 |
| 06/08/2026 | 9th | 5/2 | 87% | 20% | -0.67 |
| 25/09/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |