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7

Muhaaria

3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 2

Marseille · Prix Du Port De L'eoube Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼4
Strength88%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: +3.6
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Vichy 20/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Ver 12820/08C5C5 @ Marseille-borely 27/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m99y Sft 117C5 @ Marseille-borely 18/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m99y Sft 12418/10C5C0 @ Marseille-borely 31/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m99y Hvy 128C0 @ Marseille 05/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 1325/01C?1 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 24/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m2f151y Sft 122 · HIGHER CLASS1 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 15/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 1m2f151y Hvy 121 · HIGHER CLASS15/021C1 @ Saint-Cloud 24/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 124 · HIGHER CLASS1 @ Marseille-borely 10/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 122 · HIGHER CLASS10/041projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-10Marseille-borely15th1st+4
2026-03-24Saint-Cloud?11th7th+4
2026-02-15Cagnes-sur-Mer13rd-1th+4
2026-01-24Cagnes-sur-Mer13rd-1th+4
2026-01-05Marseille?3rd3rd0
2025-10-31Marseille-borely?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0831/1015/0210/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength52%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/08/20252nd10/147%89%+0.42
27/09/20252nd9/276%83%+0.07
18/10/20254th3/184%57%-0.27
31/10/20253rd8/158%75%+0.17
05/01/20263rd4/179%75%-0.04
24/01/20263rd33/10%67%+0.67
15/02/20263rd9/276%50%-0.26
24/03/202611th40/10%9%+0.09
10/04/20265th20/10%33%+0.33