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3

Catuai

2yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 19

Navan · Navan Racing Festival 14th & 15th November Median Auction Maiden · 5f 180y

#5

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Foaled February 23. 60,000 gns yearling, Caturra gelding. Half-brother to several winners, including useful winner up to 9f Lethal Talent and 2-y-o 7f winner Majestic Mac. Second in a barrier trial and pitched into listed company, he shaped better than the result at Fairyhouse. More to come.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼7
Strength35%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.8
Today:
Class gap: +7.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Fairyhouse 21/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 6f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS21/091
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Fairyhouse18th-1th+7

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 2195% of fieldRange 6-11 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength95%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 21. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/20268th33/10%22%+0.22