19

Hazy Sky

2yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 12

Navan · Navan Racing Festival 14th & 15th November Median Auction Maiden · 5f 180y

#10

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bred to be sharp and showed something to work on when seventh of 10 in maiden claimer at Naas (1m, good to soft) on debut 20 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Drop in trip therefore looks a good move.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 17/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m Yie 128 · HIGHER CLASS17/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Naas?7th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 2175% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength32%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 21. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/09/20267th20/10%33%+0.33