5
How Now
2yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 5
Navan · Navan Racing Festival 14th & 15th November Median Auction Maiden · 5f 180y
#21
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#21
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Listowel | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Gowran Park | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish21st of 210% of fieldRange 21-21 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -14.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 21st of 21. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2026 | 13th | 250/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 22/09/2026 | 6th | 250/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |