7

Knockraha Pa

2yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 2

Navan · Navan Racing Festival 14th & 15th November Median Auction Maiden · 5f 180y

#13

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★ Timeform

Commentary

Tenth of 15 in maiden at Naas (7f, good to soft, 300/1) 20 days ago and drop in trip looks against him.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 12.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 7f27y Goo 1254/09C8C8 @ Naas 17/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 7f Yie 12517/09C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Naas?10th10th0
2026-09-04Down Royal?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0917/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 2170% of fieldRange 7-7 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength71%

Delivery trend +35.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 21. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/202614th80/10%0%0.00
17/09/202610th300/10%36%+0.36