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13

Marcescence

2yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 15

Navan · Navan Racing Festival 14th & 15th November Median Auction Maiden · 5f 180y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

97%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bungle Inthejungle filly. Closely related to winner up to 9.5f Anificas Beauty (2-y-o 6f winner) and 1¼m-16.5f winner Haaland and half-sister to 5f-8.6f winner Mr Strutter. Greenness was apparent but plenty of positives to draw from debut third over C&D. Sure to improve.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 5f180y Gd 1225/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Navan?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 21100% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 50/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength81%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 21. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/09/20263rd4/179%83%+0.04