IvyArcIvyArc
8

What's This

2yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 20

Navan · Navan Racing Festival 14th & 15th November Median Auction Maiden · 5f 180y

#18

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#18

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Cheap purchase who was sent off 150/1 when seventh of 12 in maiden at Gowran (1m, soft) on debut 18 days ago. Gelded after, and down in trip now, which won't help his cause.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 19/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m Yie 13119/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Gowran Park?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 2120% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength23%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 17th of 21. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/09/20267th150/10%45%+0.45