1

Astute Power

4yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 12 · OR 60

Navan · Buy Now & Save With The Real Deal Bundle Maiden · 5f 180y

#4

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains with just one standout effort, though was left poorly placed when down the field in 21-runner handicap here (5f) latest.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 10.7)

Highest class: BHA67
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 23/08/2025 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 6f Gd 13423/08C8C8 @ Curragh 28/09/2025 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 6f Yie 13428/09C8C8 @ Navan 22/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 5f Sft 13422/10C8C8 @ Dundalk 07/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f Std 1347/11C8C8 @ Dundalk 10/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 70 · 5f Std 134 · below its mark10/12/2025 · OR 70 par10/12C8OR 70BHA70 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 21st of 21 · OR 70 · 6f Sft 140 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 70 par19/0470OR 70BHA67 @ Navan 07/06/2026 · Pos 15th of 21 · OR 67 · 5f Goo 137 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 67 par7/0667OR 67projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-07NavanBHA6715th13th+1
2026-04-19CurraghBHA7021th20th+1
2025-12-10Dundalk?4th4th0
2025-11-07Dundalk?5th5th0
2025-10-22Navan?3rd3rd0
2025-09-28Curragh?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/087/117/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 7-13 · tight 65/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength4%

Delivery trend -2.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/202514th22/10%7%+0.07
28/09/202513th150/10%14%+0.14
22/10/20253rd100/10%75%+0.75
07/11/20255th11/271%33%-0.38
10/12/20254th12/137%57%+0.20
19/04/202621st50/10%0%0.00
07/06/202615th16/116%30%+0.14