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9

Lilli's Angel

3yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 13 · OR 66

Navan · Buy Now & Save With The Real Deal Bundle Maiden · 5f 180y

#6

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved again when fourth of 16 in maiden (12/1) at Cork (6f, good to soft) 38 days ago, faring best of those held up. Needs more again but that's feasible given the way her form is heading.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 27/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 20 · OR - · 6f GF 12927/06C8C8 @ Curragh 18/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 7f Goo 12918/07C8C8 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 6f Yie 12930/08C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Cork?4th4th0
2026-07-18Curragh?8th8th0
2026-06-27Curragh?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0618/0730/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength92%

Delivery trend -7.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/06/20269th28/10%58%+0.58
18/07/20268th20/10%30%+0.30
30/08/20264th12/137%80%+0.43