IvyArcIvyArc
5

Metallic

3yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 7

Navan · Buy Now & Save With The Real Deal Bundle Maiden · 5f 180y

#12

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★ Timeform

Commentary

Has an excellent pedigree but has made a most discouraging start to his career.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 12.3 /10 (raw 12.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Tramore 15/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m4f Goo 13415/08C8C8 @ Roscommon 31/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f17y Goo 13431/08C8C8 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 16th of 21 · OR - · 1m2f10y Gd 1345/09C8projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Navan?16th16th0
2026-08-31Roscommon?12th12th0
2026-08-15Tramore?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0831/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 43/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength68%

Delivery trend +33.3% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20269th9/153%11%-0.42
31/08/202612th66/10%21%+0.21
05/09/202616th300/10%25%+0.25