10
My Cubby Bear
3yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 5 · OR 73
Navan · Buy Now & Save With The Real Deal Bundle Maiden · 5f 180y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
92%
Place Prob
75%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: BHA70
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Cork | BHA70 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-11-14 | Dundalk | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Dundalk | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Curragh | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 58% | +0.32 |
| 05/11/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 90% | +0.24 |
| 14/11/2025 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 42% | -0.19 |
| 29/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |