12

Rosanella

3yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 3

Navan · Buy Now & Save With The Real Deal Bundle Maiden · 5f 180y

#9

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Offered little setting out in a hood when eleventh of 17 in maiden at Fairyhouse (7f, good) 16 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 11.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairyhouse 21/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR - · 7f Goo 12921/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Fairyhouse?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 9-14 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength19%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/202611th50/10%38%+0.38