2

Celestial Crown
2yo Filly · 9-10 · Draw 6 · OR 66
Navan · Navan Racing Festival Hospitality On Sale Now Nursery Handicap · 5f 180y
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | BHA70 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Curragh | BHA71 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cork | BHA75 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Naas | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Naas | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Cork | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 39/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength25%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 14% | -0.67 |
| 04/07/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 24/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 16/08/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 05/09/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |