6
Docks
2yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 10 · OR 57
Navan · Navan Racing Festival Hospitality On Sale Now Nursery Handicap · 5f 180y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 10.8 /10 (raw 10.8)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Naas | BHA52 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Navan | ? | 17th | 17th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Roscommon | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Leopardstown | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +11.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 30/06/2026 | 15th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/07/2026 | 17th | 500/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 92% | +0.50 |