IvyArcIvyArc
5

Imply

2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 7 · OR 58

Navan · Navan Racing Festival Hospitality On Sale Now Nursery Handicap · 5f 180y

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Mid-division at best in trio of 5f maidens. Type to do better now tackling nurseries.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 5f Goo 1214/09C8C8 @ Naas 17/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f Yie 12817/09C8C8 @ Cork 29/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 5f Yie 12829/09C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-29Cork?5th5th0
2026-09-17Naas?6th6th0
2026-09-04Down Royal?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0917/0929/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +31.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/202611th33/10%0%0.00
17/09/20266th150/10%29%+0.29
29/09/20265th500/10%64%+0.64