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9

Mickian Thomas

2yo Colt · 8-7 · Draw 9 · OR 46

Navan · Navan Racing Festival Hospitality On Sale Now Nursery Handicap · 5f 180y

#6

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★ Timeform

Commentary

Well beaten all 3 starts in maidens. Drops to 5f for the first time and wears first-time cheekpieces on handicap debut. Races from 3 lb out of the weights.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 12.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 16th of 18 · OR - · 6f Goo 12616/08C8C7 @ Navan 27/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 1m20y Goo 12127/08C7C8 @ Punchestown 15/09/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 1m30y Goo 13315/09C8projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Punchestown?14th14th0
2026-08-27Navan?6th6th0
2026-08-16Curragh?16th16th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0827/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 77/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.9% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/202616th80/10%12%+0.12
27/08/20266th125/10%0%0.00
15/09/202614th300/10%0%0.00