8
Siege Of Tyre
2yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 8 · OR 48
Navan · Navan Racing Festival Hospitality On Sale Now Nursery Handicap · 5f 180y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 9.3)
Highest class: BHA49
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Naas | BHA49 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Curragh | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Leopardstown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Cork | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 63/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength97%
Delivery trend +7.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2026 | 10th | 200/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 16/07/2026 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 09/08/2026 | 13th | 250/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 17/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |