19
Aboveheronlysky
4yo Filly · 9-5 · Draw 22 · OR 49
Navan · Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap (0-60) · 5f 180y
#14
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 9.8)
Highest class: BHA50
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Cork | BHA50 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Curragh | BHA58 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Curragh | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Curragh | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-10-23 | Navan | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish19th of 2525% of fieldRange 16-25 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -12.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 19th of 25. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2024 | 3rd | 100/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 15/03/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 28/03/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 19/04/2026 | 16th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 29/09/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 39% | +0.39 |