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16

Are You In Or Out

5yo Mare · 9-7 · Draw 8 · OR 51

Navan · Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap (0-60) · 5f 180y

#15

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Enhanced her good record fresh when scoring at Fairyhouse on her return in May. Below par since but did at least show a bit more off her much-reduced mark at Bellewstown last week.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 7.9)

Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA62 @ Curragh 04/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 62 · 6f Sft 132 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 62 par4/1062OR 62BHA61 @ Curragh 16/10/2025 · Pos 14th of 26 · OR 61 · 7f Yie 131 · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 61 parBHA60 @ Fairyhouse 28/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR 60 · 6f25y Gd 142 · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 60 par28/0560OR 60BHA64 @ Leopardstown 11/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 64 · 7f35y Sft 134 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 64 parBHA64 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR 64 · 7f Goo 137 · below its mark01/07/2026 · OR 64 par1/0764OR 64BHA63 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 63 · 5f180y Goo 133 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 63 parBHA61 @ Curragh 22/08/2026 · Pos 21st of 27 · OR 61 · 6f Goo 131 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 61 par22/0861OR 61BHA56 @ Fairyhouse 21/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR 56 · 6f Goo 126 · beat its mark21/09/2026 · OR 56 parBHA53 @ Bellewstown 30/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 53 · 7f205y Sft 137 · beat its mark30/09/2026 · OR 53 par30/0953OR 53projClass-projected finish: 10th of 25
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-30BellewstownBHA534th4th0
2026-09-21FairyhouseBHA5611th11th0
2026-08-22CurraghBHA6121th21th0
2026-07-11NavanBHA638th8th0
2026-07-01FairyhouseBHA6411th11th0
2026-06-11LeopardstownBHA647th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1011/0622/0830/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 2571% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 63/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength74%

Delivery trend +2.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 25. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/10/20257th10/147%57%+0.10
16/10/202514th20/10%48%+0.48
28/05/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
11/06/20267th8/158%45%-0.12
01/07/202611th20/10%41%+0.41
11/07/20268th11/142%50%+0.08
22/08/202621st33/10%23%+0.23
21/09/202611th25/10%38%+0.38
30/09/20264th14/126%77%+0.51