14
Banish Misfortune
4yo Filly · 9-8 · Draw 3 · OR 52
Navan · Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap (0-60) · 5f 180y
#22
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#22
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 10.5)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Bellewstown | BHA52 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Down Royal | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Roscommon | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Navan | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Bellewstown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Limerick | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 2538% of fieldRange 7-21 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength47%
Delivery trend +8.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 25. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2026 | 16th | 300/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/07/2026 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/07/2026 | 12th | 250/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 18/08/2026 | 15th | 300/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 250/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 01/10/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |