6

Beach Barbie

4yo Filly · 10-0 · Draw 24 · OR 58

Navan · Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap (0-60) · 5f 180y

#8

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bits and pieces of promise in maidens but struggled from what was a stiff-looking mark on turf/handicap debut here (5f, good) 2 starts ago. 6 lb lower now at least.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: BHA64
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 10/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 6f Std 14110/04C8C8 @ Dundalk 23/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 5f Std 13923/04C8C8 @ Dundalk 26/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 5f Std 13726/05C8C8 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 64 · 5f Std 132 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 64 par15/08C8OR 64BHA64 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 64 · 5f Goo 124 · below its mark02/09/2026 · OR 64 par2/0964OR 64C8 @ Dundalk 25/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 61 · 6f Std 130 · beat its mark25/09/2026 · OR 61 par25/09C8OR 61projClass-projected finish: 4th of 25
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25Dundalk?3rd3rd0
2026-09-02NavanBHA6415th15th0
2026-08-15Dundalk?3rd3rd0
2026-05-26Dundalk?5th5th0
2026-04-23Dundalk?5th5th0
2026-04-10Dundalk?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0423/0426/0515/082/0925/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 2588% of fieldRange 1-20 · tight 42/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength70%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 25. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/04/20267th14/126%14%-0.12
23/04/20265th125/10%50%+0.50
26/05/20265th40/10%50%+0.50
15/08/20263rd20/10%82%+0.82
02/09/202615th22/10%7%+0.07
25/09/20263rd11/142%85%+0.43