2
Coincidental Glory
3yo Gelding · 10-1 · Draw 20 · OR 60
Navan · Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap (0-60) · 5f 180y
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Dundalk | BHA72 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-09-21 | Fairyhouse | BHA61 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Curragh | BHA64 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Curragh | BHA64 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Galway | BHA65 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Navan | BHA65 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 2554% of fieldRange 13-25 · tight 65/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 25. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 82% | +0.27 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 55% | -0.03 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 93% | +0.27 |
| 27/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.41 |
| 29/08/2026 | 13th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 21/09/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 88% | +0.32 |
| 25/09/2026 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |