21
Emily's Boy
3yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 14 · OR 45
Navan · Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap (0-60) · 5f 180y
#25
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#25
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 14.6 /10 (raw 14.6)
Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | BHA47 | 21th | 21th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bellewstown | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Curragh | ? | 19th | 19th | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Dundalk | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Dundalk | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish23rd of 258% of fieldRange 3-25 · tight 29/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength33%
Delivery trend +11.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 23rd of 25. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 14th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 23/01/2026 | 9th | 250/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/03/2026 | 19th | 250/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 11/04/2026 | 10th | 125/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 05/09/2026 | 21st | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |