24
Glen Breeze
3yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 17 · OR 48
Navan · Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap (0-60) · 5f 180y
#11
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class: BHA44
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Bellewstown | BHA49 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-25 | Dundalk | BHA49 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | BHA51 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Roscommon | BHA55 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Sligo | BHA55 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gowran Park | BHA55 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 2542% of fieldRange 13-25 · tight 65/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength12%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 25.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 36% | -0.17 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 88% | +0.45 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 05/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 64% | -0.15 |
| 31/08/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 38% | -0.04 |
| 05/09/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 25/09/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 69% | +0.27 |
| 01/10/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |