IvyArcIvyArc
23

Jackandthefox

7yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 12 · OR 40

Navan · Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap (0-60) · 5f 180y

#23

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#23

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Long-standing maiden who's likely to find this too competitive.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA47 @ Naas 05/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 47 · 5f205y Goo 129 · beat its mark05/07/2025 · OR 47 par5/0747OR 47BHA47 @ Gowran Park 26/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 47 · 7f Gd 129 · beat its mark26/07/2025 · OR 47 parBHA50 @ Dundalk 15/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 50 · 1m Std 132 · beat its mark15/08/2025 · OR 50 par15/0850OR 50BHA45 @ Fairyhouse 28/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR 45 · 6f25y Gd 127 · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 45 parBHA42 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 42 · 6f Goo 124 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 42 par12/0642OR 42BHA40 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR 40 · 6f Goo 122 · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 40 parBHA40 @ Gowran Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 40 · 7f Goo 122 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 40 par25/0740OR 40BHA40 @ Naas 03/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 40 · 5f Goo 122 · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 40 parBHA40 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 18 · OR 40 · 5f Gd 123 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 40 par5/0940OR 40projClass-projected finish: 5th of 25
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05NavanBHA4013th13th0
2026-08-03NaasBHA405th5th0
2026-07-25Gowran ParkBHA405th5th0
2026-07-01FairyhouseBHA404th4th0
2026-06-12FairyhouseBHA425th5th0
2026-05-28FairyhouseBHA4510th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0728/0525/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish24th of 254% of fieldRange 15-25 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength19%

Delivery trend +1.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 24th of 25.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/07/20254th10/382%79%-0.04
26/07/20253rd4/179%87%+0.08
15/08/20257th7/163%54%-0.09
28/05/202610th20/10%47%+0.47
12/06/20265th10/147%71%+0.24
01/07/20264th4/179%81%+0.02
25/07/20265th15/261%73%+0.13
03/08/20265th4/179%71%-0.08
05/09/202613th40/10%29%+0.29